"Im just here for the food"
This prize pool is full of sweet treats and other bite-size delights from the warehouse — You'll end up with a shot at our gondola plush toys, some of our favorite snack items, or a selection of mountain house MCWs.
About the Sale
The Gumball Machine is simple and driven by pure chance. We select a bunch of items for clearance, publish the odds, and distribute them randomly as you order. No special requests for items are honored, it's all down to what the random number generator says...
In the end, everyone walks away a winner — we get to empty our shelves, and you get amazing deals and weird one-offs from our warehouse.
Please note that this is a clearance event. Returns are not accepted on Gumball orders.
A Special Note on Sizing & Condition
Sized Gumball items will be distributed randomly unless specifically stated otherwise in the description below. You are free to request certain sizes of items in your order notes but we can make no guarantees of availability.
Unless stated otherwise Gumball items are either new or in Grade 1 (excellent) condition.
The Gumball Process
Below you will find the table of available items in the Gumball Machine, each with a corresponding percentile chance. Gumball Machine items are determined through the following RNG system — no requests for specific items are allowed.
Let’s say you have your eye on a particular item and want to calculate your chance of getting it, at least once, across multiple Gumballs. The formula for this is:
1 - ( 1 - % Chance) ^ (# of Chances)
If item A has a 20% chance per Gumball, and you purchase three Gumballs, here's how it would shake out. Your chance at item A is equal to:
1 - (1 - 0.20)^3 = 0.488
In other words, your chance at item A is 48.8%
Note: To use this formula you need to express the percentage chance in decimal form. The 20% chance in the formula above is written as "0.20" not "20."
Happy hunting and may RNGesus bless you!
Item | Probability | Retail |
19.61% | $6.99 | |
14.71% | $6.99 | |
14.71% | $6.99 | |
9.80% | $6.99 | |
9.80% | $13.99 | |
9.80% | $14.99 | |
7.35% | $19.99 | |
5.88% | $6.99 | |
2.45% | $34.99 | |
1.96% | $9.99 | |
1.96% | $13.99 | |
1.96% | $13.99 |